Will Red Bull win the constructor championship this weekend?

Red Bull missed a first match point for the constructors’ championship in Singapore. Indeed, the Austrian team should have secured a one-two finish and hoped that Mercedes wouldn’t score any points to clinch the title at the Marina Bay circuit. But they stumbled last weekend, allowing Ferrari and Carlos Sainz to take the victory.

The second match point could be the right one for this weekend in Suzuka, on the technical grounds of its partner, Honda. To be crowned, Red Bull must therefore score one more point than Mercedes and Ferrari must score no more than 24 points.

Several scenarios are possible then. For example, if Perez and Russell both retire, but Verstappen finishes first, Hamilton second, and both Ferraris score only one point, then Red Bull could be crowned. Therefore, there are numerous probabilities if both Red Bulls finish at the top of the rankings.

Red Bull is clearly dominating this season. With 14 wins out of 15 Grand Prix races, the team is leading the constructors’ standings with a whopping 308-point advantage over Mercedes, which is more points than the German team has scored themselves. Ferrari, currently in third place, is 332 points behind Red Bull.

On a very fast circuit in Japan, Max Verstappen and Sergio Perez should be back in their usual positions and, unless another catastrophic scenario occurs for Red Bull, the team’s 6th constructors’ title will be secured.

The battle for the honorable positions

It is behind Red Bull that things are becoming increasingly exciting. Mercedes is in second place in the standings, but Ferrari has closed the gap to 24 points after the Singapore GP. George Russell’s retirement on the last lap could have a heavy impact towards the end of the season. Aston Martin, in 4th place and 72 points behind Mercedes, now seems to be falling behind and on a downward trend in terms of performance, making it unlikely for them to do better this year.